Sport Picks
Pineto vs Sambenedettese
Italy
Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto 
Match Events
7'
7'
Piccoli M.
15'
15'
Magnaghi S.
37'
37'
Vigliotti G.
AI Match Summary
Pineto in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pineto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pineto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pineto have won more games recently than Sambenedettese.
- Win probability leans Pineto's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pineto | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Sambenedettese
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Pineto
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Pineto
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pineto Compare
Top Goalscorer Germinario G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vigliotti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Candellori K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pineto 68 / 100
Sambenedettese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pineto Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sambenedettese let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Pineto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sambenedettese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pineto VS Sambenedettese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pineto
(Home) 26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0 Livorno
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
Page 1 of 4
Sambenedettese
(Away) 26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Grosseto | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 14 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Sassari Torres | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Guidonia 1937 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Forli FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Pescara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Pineto | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Perugia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Ostiamare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Latina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Vado | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 18 | Pianese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | 2 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
