Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Dubickas E.
29'
29'
Martella B.
42'
42'
Borsoi M.
AI Match Summary
Ternana in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ternana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pineto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ternana lately — more wins on the board than Pineto.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Pineto taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ternana here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 20%
Ternana Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pineto | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Ternana
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pineto
2:1
Jan 17, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Ternana
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Pineto
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pineto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Dubickas E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martella B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pineto 36 / 100
Ternana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pineto Ternana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pineto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Ternana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Pineto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pineto VS Ternana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pineto
(Home) 01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4 Scafatese
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1 Pineto
03 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Gubbio
26 Apr
Gubbio
2 : 0 Pineto
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4 Scafatese
03 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Gubbio
18 Apr
Pineto
1 : 4 Arezzo
11 Apr
Pineto
0 : 0 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 3
Ternana
(Away) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
14 Mar
Vis Pesaro
1 : 0 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
