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Pinhalnovense vs Almancilense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
30%
Almancilense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pinhalnovense have won more games recently than Almancilense.
  • Pinhalnovense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Almancilense
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Pinhalnovense vs Almancilense
1:1
Oct 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Pinhalnovense
0:3
Apr 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Almancilense vs Pinhalnovense
1:1
Feb 26, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pinhalnovense vs Almancilense
1:0
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Almancilense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 40 / 100
Almancilense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Almancilense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almancilense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Pinhalnovense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pinhalnovense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinhalnovense VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

Almancilense

(Away)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)