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Pinhalnovense vs Imortal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Sun, Oct 24, 2021
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinhalnovense host Imortal in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group F. Pinhalnovense go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Pinhalnovense at 1.48 goals for, 1.24 against; Imortal at 0.84 for, 1.77 against. Head-to-head, Pinhalnovense have won 1 to Imortal's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 0.86) back Pinhalnovense to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
35%
Imortal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinhalnovense lately — more wins on the board than Imortal.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pinhalnovense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Imortal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Imortal
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.48 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Imortal vs Pinhalnovense
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense vs Imortal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 42 / 100
Imortal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Imortal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Imortal conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Pinhalnovense scored in 71% of their last 21 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Pinhalnovense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imortal
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

Imortal

(Away)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olhanense 16 10 6 0 32:15 36
2 Moncarapachense 16 9 6 1 31:12 33
3 Louletano 16 9 5 2 37:15 32
4 Juv. Evora 16 6 6 4 26:12 24
5 Esperanca de Lagos 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
6 Serpa 16 4 4 8 18:32 16
7 Imortal 16 2 6 8 9:26 12
8 Uniao Montemor 16 3 3 10 12:28 12
9 FC Barreirense 16 1 6 9 10:30 9
10 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)