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Pinheirense vs Paragominas

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Paraense A2 2025
Pinheirense Logo

Pinheirense

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Paragominas Logo

Paragominas

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between Pinheirense and Paragominas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pinheirense
35%
Draws
35%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pinheirense haven't matched Paragominas's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 16%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheirense Paragominas
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Pinheirense
3:1
Jun 11, 2025 Paraense A2
Pinheirense vs Paragominas
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Paraense A2
Pinheirense vs Paragominas
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Pinheirense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheirense 36 / 100
Paragominas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheirense Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheirense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Paragominas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pinheirense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pinheirense VS Paragominas
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheirense

(Home)
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
22 Jun
Paragominas
3 : 1
Pinheirense
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Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)