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Pinheiro vs IAPE Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Pinheiro Logo

Pinheiro

0 - 2
FT
IAPE Logo

IAPE

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sousa D.
60' Event
Eloir
89'
Diego Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IAPE in this Maranhense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Pinheiro
35%
Draws
13%
IAPE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE have won more games recently than Pinheiro.
  • Win probability leans Pinheiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 68%
IAPE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro IAPE
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 Maranhense
IAPE vs Pinheiro
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
0:2
Jan 14, 2023 Maranhense
IAPE vs Pinheiro
0:1
Jan 29, 2022 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs IAPE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinheiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eloir
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 95 / 100
IAPE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro IAPE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pinheiro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: IAPE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS IAPE
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

IAPE

(Away)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)