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Pinheiro vs Imperatriz

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Pinheiro Logo

Pinheiro

1 - 1
FT
Imperatriz Logo

Imperatriz

Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Papel
90' Event
Neto
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pinheiro
35%
Draws
32%
Imperatriz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pinheiro haven't matched Imperatriz's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 19%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Imperatriz
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Pinheiro
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Pinheiro
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
2:2
Mar 1, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinheiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Papel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 32 / 100
Imperatriz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Imperatriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Imperatriz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pinheiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS Imperatriz
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

Imperatriz

(Away)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)