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Pinheiro vs Tuntum

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pinheiro
35%
Draws
28%
Tuntum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tuntum have won more games recently than Pinheiro.
  • Pinheiro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 20%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Tuntum
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Tuntum
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Pinheiro
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Tuntum
4:0
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Pinheiro
0:0
Mar 13, 2022 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Pinheiro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 42 / 100
Tuntum 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Tuntum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tuntum let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Pinheiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS Tuntum
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

Tuntum

(Away)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)