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Stadium Background

Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela do Norte in this Capixaba 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pinheiros
15%
Draws
85%
Estrela do Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte have won more games recently than Pinheiros.
  • Model gives Estrela do Norte a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiros Estrela do Norte
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte
0:5
Jul 22, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:1
Feb 12, 2007 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiros 10 / 100
Estrela do Norte 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiros Estrela do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiros scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Estrela do Norte let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiros VS Estrela do Norte
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiros

(Home)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
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Estrela do Norte

(Away)
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)