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Pinheiros vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2008
Pinheiros Logo

Pinheiros

1 - 1
FT
Serra Logo

Serra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pinheiros
15%
Draws
85%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra lately — more wins on the board than Pinheiros.
  • Win probability leans Serra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%
Serra Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiros Serra
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Pinheiros
4:0
Apr 17, 2021 Capixaba
Serra vs Pinheiros
2:1
Mar 23, 2008 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Serra
1:1
Feb 2, 2008 Capixaba
Serra vs Pinheiros
2:2
Mar 18, 2007 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Serra
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiros 10 / 100
Serra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiros Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Pinheiros scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Serra has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Serra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiros VS Serra
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiros

(Home)
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
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Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 11 5 2 23:10 38
2 Serra 18 10 5 3 27:21 35
3 Jaguare 18 8 6 4 37:26 30
4 Rio Bananal FC 18 8 5 5 34:20 29
5 Vilavelhense 18 7 4 7 28:26 25
6 Colatinense 18 7 4 7 23:30 25
7 Rio Branco ES 18 6 3 9 22:27 21
8 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 2 10 30:28 20
9 Pinheiros 18 3 7 8 25:35 16
10 CTE Colatina 18 2 3 13 25:51 9
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2008 (Play Offs)