Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pioneros play Inter Playa Del Carmen in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pioneros averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Inter Playa Del Carmen averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Pioneros won 3, Inter Playa Del Carmen won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Pioneros and 1.50 for Inter Playa Del Carmen. This points to a Pioneros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Pioneros

22%

Draws

36%

Inter Playa Del Carmen

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pioneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Pioneros picked up more points recently compared to Inter Playa Del Carmen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Pioneros Clean Sheet 16%

Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pioneros	Inter Playa Del Carmen
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	3	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.7	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Pioneros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sep 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Pioneros

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Jan 28, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Pioneros

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sep 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Pioneros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Jan 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Pioneros

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pioneros 41 / 100

Inter Playa Del Carmen 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pioneros Inter Playa Del Carmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pioneros or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pioneros attacking → ← attacking Inter Playa Del Carmen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pioneros scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pioneros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Inter Playa Del Carmen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 48

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17