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Pirae vs Tafea

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Oceania Club Championship 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Tafea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pirae
20%
Draws
16%
Tafea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pirae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tafea have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — Pirae are scoring more at 2.16.
  • Model gives Pirae a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tafea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pirae Clean Sheet 16%
Tafea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirae Tafea
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.16 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2005 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs Tafea
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirae 41 / 100
Tafea 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirae Tafea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tafea conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pirae scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Tafea's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirae VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirae

(Home)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 7

Tafea

(Away)
17 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
Team Wellington
15 Apr
Tefana
1 : 1
Tafea
12 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
PNG Hekari
13 Apr
Tafea
1 : 3
Magenta
10 Apr
Ba
4 : 0
Tafea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sydney FC 6
Tafea 0
Pirae 1
Magenta 4
Final
Sydney FC 2
Magenta 0
Tafea 3
Pirae 1