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Pirapora vs Araxa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pirapora
6%
Draws
90%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than Pirapora.
  • Model gives Araxa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Pirapora Clean Sheet 11%
Araxa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirapora Araxa
Matches Played 8 20
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Pirapora
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pirapora vs Araxa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirapora 10 / 100
Araxa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirapora Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirapora found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (8 games).

Araxa let in goals in 50% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pirapora stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirapora VS Araxa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirapora

(Home)
21 Oct
Mamore
4 : 0
Pirapora
14 Oct
Pirapora
1 : 6
Paracatu
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
01 Oct
Pirapora
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
16 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 2

Araxa

(Away)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)