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Pirapora vs Araxa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pirapora
20%
Draws
32%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pirapora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than Pirapora.
  • Model gives Araxa a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pirapora Clean Sheet 10%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirapora Araxa
Matches Played 8 19
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.38 1.05
Goals Conceded 2 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Pirapora
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pirapora vs Araxa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirapora 18 / 100
Araxa 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirapora Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Araxa conceded in 63% of 19 recent games.

Araxa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pirapora found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (8 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pirapora VS Araxa
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
3.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirapora

(Home)
21 Oct
Mamore
4 : 0
Pirapora
14 Oct
Pirapora
1 : 6
Paracatu
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
01 Oct
Pirapora
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
16 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 2

Araxa

(Away)
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)