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Pirassununguense vs SC Barueri

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirassununguense play SC Barueri in the Paulista A4 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pirassununguense averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. SC Barueri averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Pirassununguense won 0, SC Barueri won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 5, 2012 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Pirassununguense and 0.88 for SC Barueri. This points to a SC Barueri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pirassununguense
21%
Draws
44%
SC Barueri
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: SC Barueri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirassununguense picked up more points recently compared to SC Barueri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Pirassununguense Clean Sheet 25%
SC Barueri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirassununguense SC Barueri
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2012 Paulista A4
SC Barueri vs Pirassununguense
3:1
Jul 14, 2012 Paulista A4
Pirassununguense vs SC Barueri
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirassununguense 37 / 100
SC Barueri 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirassununguense SC Barueri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SC Barueri or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pirassununguense attacking → ← attacking SC Barueri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirassununguense scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

SC Barueri let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pirassununguense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SC Barueri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Votuporanguense641112:313
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3Jaboticabal Atletico63128:410
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1Fernandopolis63217:711
2Olimpia FC62228:58
3Sumare62225:68
4Jabaquara61235:75
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Novorizontino642010:114
2SKA Brasil632111:611
3Americo EC62226:58
4Atletico Mogi60063:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tupa64116:513
2Mauaense63126:510
3Primavera EC62137:67
4Guariba61144:74
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nacional SP64115:213
2Jose Bonifacio EC623110:79
3Cotia62227:98
4Desportivo60244:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jacarei FC62316:59
2Sao Vicente62229:58
3SC Barueri62227:98
4Pirassununguense62136:97