Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Ratto P.
46'
46'
Soto J.
62'
62'
Sub
Rodriguez N. In: Maciel E.
Out: Rodriguez N.
AI Match Summary
ADA Jaen in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADA Jaen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ADA Jaen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- ADA Jaen haven't matched Pirata's recent run of results.
- ADA Jaen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pirata Clean Sheet 17%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pirata | ADA Jaen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pirata Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
ADA Jaen Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pirata 15 / 100
ADA Jaen 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pirata ADA Jaen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pirata scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: ADA Jaen conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Pirata stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pirata VS ADA Jaen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pirata
(Home) 27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0 Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0 Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1 Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2 Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2 Union Comercio
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0 San Marcos
20 Jul
Pirata
3 : 2 U. San Martin
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
ADA Jaen
(Away) 25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 San Marcos
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 ADA Jaen
19 Jul
AD Cantolao
0 : 0 ADA Jaen
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1 ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
