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Pirata vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Lopez D.
18' Event
Sanguinetti F.
25' Event
Sanguinetti F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Pirata and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pirata
6%
Draws
4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pirata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) haven't matched Pirata's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pirata a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pirata Clean Sheet 20%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2023 Liga 2
Pirata vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4:1
May 31, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Pirata
3:0
Aug 7, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Pirata
2:1
May 7, 2022 Liga 2
Pirata vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanguinetti F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rey I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 85 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirata scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pirata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
20 Jul
Pirata
3 : 2
U. San Martin
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2
Pirata
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
01 Jun
Pirata
3 : 1
Llacuabamba
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Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Away)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)