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Pirata vs Ayacucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Chirinos A. In: Rodriguez A.
Out: Chirinos A.
49'
Tamariz A.
55'
Banega F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Pirata and Ayacucho finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pirata
20%
Draws
44%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayacucho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pirata come out ahead of Ayacucho on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pirata taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pirata Clean Sheet 11%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Ayacucho
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Ayacucho
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Liga 2
Pirata vs Ayacucho
3:1
Aug 11, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Pirata
4:1
Aug 17, 2023 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Pirata
2:1
May 25, 2023 Liga 2
Pirata vs Ayacucho
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordara B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carbajal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ayacucho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 35 / 100
Ayacucho 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Pirata's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ayacucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Pirata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Ayacucho
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Ayacucho

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 1 1 0 0 7:0 5
2 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
3 Tacna Heroica 1 0 1 0 2:2 2
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams