Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pirata vs Carlos Mannucci

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lugo K.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Murillo J.
24'
Diez Canseco P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Pirata and Carlos Mannucci finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlos Mannucci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pirata
30%
Draws
58%
Carlos Mannucci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Carlos Mannucci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Carlos Mannucci are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Carlos Mannucci here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pirata Clean Sheet 14%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Carlos Mannucci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Carlos Mannucci
2:4
May 24, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs Pirata
1:0
May 31, 2025 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs Pirata
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs Carlos Mannucci
0:1
Sep 1, 2019 Liga 1
Pirata vs Carlos Mannucci
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliaga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Carlos Mannucci Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 15 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Carlos Mannucci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirata's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carlos Mannucci conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pirata has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Carlos Mannucci
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
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Carlos Mannucci

(Away)
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)