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Pirata vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Morales J.
38' Event
Urtecho E.
40'
Beltran C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Pirata and Cesar Vallejo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pirata
35%
Draws
45%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesar Vallejo haven't matched Pirata's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pirata Clean Sheet 17%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.47 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Pirata
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Cesar Vallejo
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Pirata
2:0
May 4, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0
Oct 26, 2019 Liga 1
Pirata vs Cesar Vallejo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbajal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Urtecho E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 36 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Cesar Vallejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesar Vallejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirata scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Cesar Vallejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pirata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Cesar Vallejo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Cesar Vallejo

(Away)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)