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Pirata vs U. San Martin Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Pirata Logo

Pirata

3 - 2
FT
U. San Martin Logo

U. San Martin

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Santos S.
36' Event
Quiroz R.
Own Goal
40' Event
Sanchez K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pirata in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pirata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pirata
30%
Draws
54%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than U. San Martin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata U. San Martin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
2:1
Aug 2, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordara B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 30 / 100
U. San Martin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pirata scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

U. San Martin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Pirata remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS U. San Martin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)