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Pirata vs U. San Martin

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Mon, Jul 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirata host U. San Martin in the Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pirata have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against U. San Martin's 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor U. San Martin slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Pirata. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pirata
30%
Draws
34%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pirata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than U. San Martin.
  • Model gives Pirata a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pirata Clean Sheet 20%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata U. San Martin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
2:1
Aug 2, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
4:1
May 13, 2023 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 36 / 100
U. San Martin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata U. San Martin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pirata scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

U. San Martin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pirata remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS U. San Martin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126