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Pirata vs Union Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirata host Union Minas in the Liga 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Pirata at 1.55 goals for, 1.31 against; Union Minas at 1.59 for, 0.89 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.19 - 2.13) back Pirata to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pirata
30%
Draws
47%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than Union Minas.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Union Minas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Union Minas
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 18 / 100
Union Minas 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pirata scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pirata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Union Minas conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Away concern: Union Minas has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Union Minas
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Union Minas

(Away)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 1 1 0 0 7:0 5
2 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
3 Tacna Heroica 1 0 1 0 2:2 2
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams