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Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Belasitsa Petrich

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Hristo Botev
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Blagoevgrad play Belasitsa Petrich in the Vtora liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pirin Blagoevgrad averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Belasitsa Petrich averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 3, Belasitsa Petrich won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 1.38 for Belasitsa Petrich. This points to a Pirin Blagoevgrad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26%
Draws
28%
Belasitsa Petrich
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Pirin Blagoevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad picked up more points recently compared to Belasitsa Petrich.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 17%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Belasitsa Petrich
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:3
May 24, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:3
Nov 30, 2024 Vtora liga
Belasitsa Petrich vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Bliznakov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Belasitsa Petrich Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 45 / 100
Belasitsa Petrich 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Belasitsa Petrich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pirin Blagoevgrad or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pirin Blagoevgrad attacking → ← attacking Belasitsa Petrich

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Belasitsa Petrich let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pirin Blagoevgrad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Belasitsa Petrich lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 21
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219