Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mihaylov M.
20' Event
Kazakov I.
34' Event
Roemer Y.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Hebar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20%
Draws
80%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hebar come out ahead of Pirin Blagoevgrad on wins alone.
  • Hebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.61 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
4:2
May 21, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
0:0
Mar 11, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Roemer Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mihaylov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
Hebar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Hebar has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Pirin Blagoevgrad's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Hebar has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Blagoevgrad VS Hebar
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Home)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
6 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
7 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
8 Rilski Sportist 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
9 Gorna 10 4 3 3 9:10 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
13 Marek 10 4 1 5 11:12 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 0 0 10 4:32 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)