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Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Petrov A.
31' Event
Kazakov I.
45'
Bliznakov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15%
Draws
0%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirin Blagoevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Hebar have won more games recently than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 16%
Hebar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
4:2
May 21, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
0:0
Mar 11, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
1:1
Feb 28, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Hebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milushev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nepeypiev R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 28 / 100
Hebar 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hebar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Blagoevgrad VS Hebar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Home)
03 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
28 Jul
Dobrudzha
5 : 1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Marek
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4 : 1
Sevlievo
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3
Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
24 Jun
Hebar
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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