Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga Hristo Botev

Ludogorets II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pirin Blagoevgrad play Ludogorets II in the Vtora liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pirin Blagoevgrad averaged 1 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Ludogorets II averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 3, Ludogorets II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 1.31 for Ludogorets II. This points to a Ludogorets II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Pirin Blagoevgrad

28%

Draws

43%

Ludogorets II

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Pirin Blagoevgrad picked up more points recently compared to Ludogorets II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 18%

Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pirin Blagoevgrad	Ludogorets II
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	6	13
Draws	10	8
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1	1.82
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Vtora liga

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Sep 29, 2025 Vtora liga

Ludogorets II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Apr 8, 2025 Vtora liga

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sep 30, 2024 Vtora liga

Ludogorets II vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Mar 10, 2021 Vtora liga

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 / 100

Ludogorets II 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pirin Blagoevgrad Ludogorets II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ludogorets II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pirin Blagoevgrad attacking → ← attacking Ludogorets II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Ludogorets II let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pirin Blagoevgrad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ludogorets II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 47

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19