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Stadium Background

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Hristo Botev
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kazakov I.
41'
Tsekov N.
46'
Sub
Kozhuharov A. In: Thiesen C.
Out: Kozhuharov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
39%
Draws
30%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad haven't matched Spartak Pleven's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:5
Mar 15, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Shopov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 31 / 100
Spartak Pleven 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Spartak Pleven's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Blagoevgrad VS Spartak Pleven
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219