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Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog host Balkan Botevgrad in the Third League - South-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Pirin Razlog have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Balkan Botevgrad's 1.3 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Balkan Botevgrad slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.38) back Balkan Botevgrad to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
64%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balkan Botevgrad come out ahead of Pirin Razlog on wins alone.
  • Model gives Balkan Botevgrad a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 17%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad
4:0
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 23 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Botevgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Razlog found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Balkan Botevgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Pirin Razlog stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Balkan Botevgrad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
17 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Levski Sofia II
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
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