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Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West. This has Pirin Razlog written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Pirin Razlog at 1.1 goals for, 2.03 against; Chavdar Etropole at 0.5 for, 2.64 against. Head-to-head, Pirin Razlog have won 3 to Chavdar Etropole's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back Pirin Razlog to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
85%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Pirin Razlog's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 13%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Pirin Razlog
0:3
Nov 11, 2023 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole
1:3
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Pirin Razlog
0:0
Feb 27, 2021 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 31 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Etropole Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Pirin Razlog found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Chavdar Etropole has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Chavdar Etropole
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
28 Oct
Pirin Razlog
0 : 5
Balkan Botevgrad
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
17 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Levski Sofia II
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
28 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
4 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
24 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
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