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Pirin Razlog vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog play Nadezhda Dobroslavci in the Third League - South-West 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pirin Razlog averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Nadezhda Dobroslavci averaged 1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Pirin Razlog won 2, Nadezhda Dobroslavci won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 5, 2022 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Pirin Razlog and 1.25 for Nadezhda Dobroslavci. This points to a Pirin Razlog double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Pirin Razlog
23%
Draws
23%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog picked up more points recently compared to Nadezhda Dobroslavci.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 19%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
4:1
Aug 20, 2022 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Pirin Razlog
1:2
Mar 23, 2022 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
1:1
Sep 4, 2021 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Pirin Razlog
1:1
May 15, 2021 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 52 / 100
Nadezhda Dobroslavci 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirin Razlog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pirin Razlog & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pirin Razlog attacking → ← attacking Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Razlog scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 24
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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1Marek20153256:1548
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9Botev Ihtiman20501524:4115
10Levski Rakovski20431319:4715
11Gotse Delchev20401622:5412
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vihren20135240:2044
2Kostinbrod20142431:1544
3Kyustendil20127141:1243
4CSKA Sofia II2085737:2029
5Septemvri Simitli2077628:2428
6Rilski Sportist2076733:2927
7Oborishte Panagyurishte2083920:3027
8Levski Sofia II2075829:2726
9Pirin Razlog20441220:3816
10Granit Vladaya20351214:3914
11Nadezhda Dobroslavci20051516:555