Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pisa vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Vural I.
46'
Sub
Bortolussi M. In: Lasagna K.
Out: Bortolussi M.
46'
Sub
Caracciolo Ant. In: Bozhinov R.
Out: Caracciolo Ant.

AI Match Summary

Padova in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pisa
20%
Draws
23%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Padova lately — more wins on the board than Pisa.
  • Pisa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pisa Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pisa Padova
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.14
Goals Conceded 2 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Pisa vs Padova
0:1
Aug 12, 2012 Coppa Italia
Padova vs Pisa
3:2
Feb 18, 2007 Lega Pro C1/A
Padova vs Pisa
2:1
Oct 8, 2006 Lega Pro C1/A
Pisa vs Padova
1:0
Mar 27, 2004 Lega Pro C1/A
Pisa vs Padova
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pisa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pisa 68 / 100
Padova 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pisa Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Padova conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pisa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Padova registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pisa VS Padova
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pisa

(Home)
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
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Padova

(Away)
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Cesena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ascoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Pisa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Padova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sampdoria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Palermo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Verona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
15 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)