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Pistoiese vs Piacenza Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Rizq K.

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pistoiese
15%
Draws
34%
Piacenza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pistoiese lately — more wins on the board than Piacenza.
  • Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Piacenza
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.54 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Piacenza
1:3
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Piacenza
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Pistoiese
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Pistoiese
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Piacenza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Piacenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 95 / 100
Piacenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Piacenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pistoiese found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Pistoiese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Piacenza conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Piacenza
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
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Piacenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)