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Pistoiese vs Pisa

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Buffon L.
75' Event
Pinzauti L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Pistoiese and Pisa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pistoiese
20%
Draws
40%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 29%
Pisa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Pisa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.69 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Pistoiese vs Pisa
1:1
Feb 10, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Pisa vs Pistoiese
2:1
Oct 14, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Pistoiese vs Pisa
0:2
Mar 20, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Pistoiese vs Pisa
0:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Pisa vs Pistoiese
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Buffon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 38 / 100
Pisa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Pistoiese's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Pistoiese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Pisa
1.29 Goals Scored 0.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3
Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
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Pisa

(Away)
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
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