Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese

2 - 0

Rovato Vertovese

Our Tip

Match Events

Rizq K.

11'

Russo F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Pistoiese

22%

Draws

18%

Rovato Vertovese

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Pistoiese have won more games recently than Rovato Vertovese.
Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pistoiese	Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	21	14
Draws	8	9
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	1.88	1
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs Rovato Vertovese

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Rovato Vertovese vs Pistoiese

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Russo F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 68 / 100

Rovato Vertovese 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pistoiese Rovato Vertovese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pistoiese scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rovato Vertovese conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Rovato Vertovese

1.88 Goals Scored 1

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8