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Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ramirez E.
54' Event
Hansen J.
61' Event
Porras S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Pitbulls and Cariari Pococi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pitbulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pitbulls
30%
Draws
23%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pitbulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pitbulls come out ahead of Cariari Pococi on wins alone.
  • Pitbulls are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 17%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitbulls Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls
2:1
Sep 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
4:1
Oct 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitbulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cariari Pococi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitbulls 39 / 100
Cariari Pococi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitbulls Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitbulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Pitbulls's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pitbulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitbulls VS Cariari Pococi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitbulls

(Home)
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
01 Sept
Pitbulls
2 : 0
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 6

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)