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Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Escoe M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Pitbulls and Cariari Pococi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pitbulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pitbulls
30%
Draws
23%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pitbulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cariari Pococi haven't matched Pitbulls's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pitbulls a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 17%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitbulls Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls
2:1
Sep 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
4:1
Oct 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Cariari Pococi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitbulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Escoe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cariari Pococi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitbulls 39 / 100
Cariari Pococi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitbulls Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitbulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cariari Pococi conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Pitbulls found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pitbulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitbulls VS Cariari Pococi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitbulls

(Home)
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
01 Sept
Pitbulls
2 : 0
Santa Ana
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Cariari Pococi

(Away)
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Cariari Pococi 8 3 4 1 10:8 13
5 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)