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Pitbulls vs Carmelita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pitbulls host Carmelita in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pitbulls have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Carmelita's 1.17 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Pitbulls slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Pitbulls to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pitbulls
35%
Draws
41%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carmelita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pitbulls lately — more wins on the board than Carmelita.
  • Model gives Carmelita a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 16%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitbulls Carmelita
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
2:0
Sep 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitbulls 15 / 100
Carmelita 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitbulls Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pitbulls scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Carmelita conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Pitbulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitbulls VS Carmelita
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitbulls

(Home)
13 Oct
Pitbulls
2 : 2
Aserri
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Pitbulls
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Carmelita

(Away)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)