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Stadium Background

Pitea vs FC Jarfalla

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Drugge E.
31'
Jamehdar S.
31' Event
Medhin T N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pitea
15%
Draws
28%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pitea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pitea haven't matched FC Jarfalla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pitea a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pitea Clean Sheet 19%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FC Jarfalla
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs Pitea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Felicia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naslund H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Jarfalla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 67 / 100
FC Jarfalla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Jarfalla has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

FC Jarfalla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS FC Jarfalla
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)