Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitea vs Karlbergs

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Johansson F.
46'
Sub
Bergstrom H. In: Berglund C.
Out: Bergstrom H.
47' Event
Hoeve Q.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pitea
20%
Draws
40%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pitea haven't matched Karlbergs's recent run of results.
  • Pitea are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pitea Clean Sheet 18%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Karlbergs
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlbergs
3:0
Jun 24, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Pitea
3:1
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlbergs
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Pitea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoeve Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karlbergs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 49 / 100
Karlbergs 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Karlbergs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Karlbergs has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Karlbergs
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
5 Karlstad 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
6 FBK Karlstad 22 11 5 6 36:32 38
7 Enkopings SK 22 12 2 8 35:36 38
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 22 5 8 9 21:31 23
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)