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Stadium Background

Pitea vs Karlbergs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Johansson F.
46'
Sub
Bergstrom H. In: Berglund C.
Out: Bergstrom H.
47' Event
Hoeve Q.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pitea
35%
Draws
37%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pitea haven't matched Karlbergs's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pitea Clean Sheet 16%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Karlbergs
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlbergs
3:0
Jun 24, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Pitea
3:1
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlbergs
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Pitea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoeve Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Karlbergs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 31 / 100
Karlbergs 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Karlbergs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Pitea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Karlbergs
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
01 Nov
Pitea
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
25 Oct
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Pitea
18 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Sollentuna
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 7

Karlbergs

(Away)
01 Nov
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
25 Oct
Karlbergs
1 : 1
Umea FC
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)