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Pitea vs Umea FC Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Olawore E. In: Forsman S.
Out: Olawore E.
46'
Sub
Ingemarson A. In: Lundmark O.
Out: Ingemarson A.
46'
Sub
Lundback J. In: Jamehdar S.
Out: Lundback J.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pitea
15%
Draws
42%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pitea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Umea FC have won more games recently than Pitea.
  • Win probability leans Pitea's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pitea Clean Sheet 16%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Umea FC
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Umea FC
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Pitea
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Pitea vs Umea FC
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Pitea
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Pitea
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Umea FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 48 / 100
Umea FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Umea FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pitea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Umea FC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
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Umea FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
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