Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitea vs Umea FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Andersson R.
60'
Sub
Sulaiman K. In: Lundback J.
Out: Sulaiman K.
60'
Sub
Jordan L. In: Felicia G.
Out: Jordan L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Pitea and Umea FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pitea
20%
Draws
57%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Umea FC come out ahead of Pitea on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pitea taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pitea Clean Sheet 19%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Umea FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Umea FC
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Pitea
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Pitea vs Umea FC
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Pitea
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Pitea
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Umea FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bawa Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 36 / 100
Umea FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Umea FC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pitea has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Umea FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

Umea FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2
Vasalund
23 Aug
Umea FC
0 : 0
Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)