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Pitea W vs Rosengard W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Edlund C.
16' Event
Hellekant A.
33' Event
Siemsen R.
Assist: Oling R.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Pitea W and Rosengard W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pitea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pitea W
20%
Draws
56%
Rosengard W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosengard W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Pitea W haven't matched Rosengard W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rosengard W a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rosengard W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pitea W Clean Sheet 19%
Rosengard W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea W Rosengard W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Rosengard W vs Pitea W
1:0
May 10, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Rosengard W
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Rosengard W
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Rosengard W vs Pitea W
1:0
Sep 30, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Rosengard W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Edlund C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hellekant A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rosengard W Compare

Top Goalscorer Siemsen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea W 24 / 100
Rosengard W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea W Rosengard W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosengard W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rosengard W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pitea W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pitea W VS Rosengard W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea W

(Home)
27 Sept
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Pitea W
20 Sept
Kristianstad W
2 : 2
Pitea W
13 Sept
Pitea W
0 : 1
AIK W
05 Sept
Pitea W
2 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
30 Aug
IF Brommapojkarna W
1 : 1
Pitea W
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Rosengard W

(Away)
27 Sept
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Pitea W
23 Sept
Eskilsminne W
0 : 4
Rosengard W
20 Sept
Norrkoping W
2 : 1
Rosengard W
12 Sept
Rosengard W
1 : 0
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
05 Sept
Djurgarden W
0 : 1
Rosengard W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 20 18 1 1 61:13 55
2 Hammarby W 20 16 2 2 49:10 50
3 Malmo FF W 20 10 6 4 39:14 36
4 AIK W 20 10 4 6 29:27 34
5 Kristianstad W 20 8 5 7 33:32 29
6 Vittsjo W 20 8 5 7 27:26 29
7 IF Brommapojkarna W 20 9 2 9 28:34 29
8 Eskilstuna United W 20 8 3 9 18:25 27
9 Pitea W 20 6 5 9 23:29 23
10 Djurgarden W 20 6 3 11 25:33 21
11 Rosengard W 20 5 5 10 21:25 20
12 Vaxjo DFF W 20 5 3 12 23:40 18
13 Norrkoping W 20 3 7 10 17:35 16
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 20 1 3 16 14:64 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)