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Piton Saint-Leu vs Excelsior

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Regionale 1
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Piton Saint-Leu and Excelsior finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Piton Saint-Leu
15%
Draws
49%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Piton Saint-Leu haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Piton Saint-Leu Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piton Saint-Leu Excelsior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Excelsior
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Piton Saint-Leu
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Excelsior
0:1
May 19, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Piton Saint-Leu
4:0
Jul 30, 2023 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Excelsior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piton Saint-Leu 10 / 100
Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piton Saint-Leu Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Piton Saint-Leu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Piton Saint-Leu found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Excelsior has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piton Saint-Leu VS Excelsior
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piton Saint-Leu

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Saint-Louisienne
2 : 0
Piton Saint-Leu
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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Excelsior

(Away)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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