Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion

HPS W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PK-35 Vantaa W play HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. HPS W are favorites here. Recently, PK-35 Vantaa W averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. HPS W averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, PK-35 Vantaa W won 1, HPS W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for PK-35 Vantaa W and 1.00 for HPS W. This points to a HPS W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

PK-35 Vantaa W

25%

Draws

60%

HPS W

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

PK-35 Vantaa W picked up more points recently compared to HPS W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 23%

HPS W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PK-35 Vantaa W	HPS W
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	18
Draws	0	3
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	2.33	2.24
Goals Conceded	2.43	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

PK-35 Vantaa W vs HPS W

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

May 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 19, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

PK-35 Vantaa W vs HPS W

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

5:1

Jul 26, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HPS W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonen A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PK-35 Vantaa W 18 / 100

HPS W 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PK-35 Vantaa W HPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)

Secondary Pick HPS W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PK-35 Vantaa W attacking → ← attacking HPS W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PK-35 Vantaa W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

HPS W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

PK-35 Vantaa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

HPS W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 57

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	11	10	0	1	33:9	30
2	KuPS W	11	8	1	2	27:14	25
3	HPS W	11	7	2	2	17:8	23
4	Aland United W	11	6	1	4	28:16	19
5	Ilves W	11	5	0	6	19:21	15
6	Gnistan W	11	4	0	7	19:28	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	11	2	0	9	11:29	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	11	0	0	11	5:34	0