Sport Picks

Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2019

Vaajakoski

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PK-37 play Vaajakoski in the Kakkonen Group C 2019. Vaajakoski are favorites here. Recently, PK-37 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Vaajakoski averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, PK-37 won 2, Vaajakoski won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for PK-37 and 1.00 for Vaajakoski. This points to a Vaajakoski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

PK-37

25%

Draws

60%

Vaajakoski

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

PK-37 picked up more points recently compared to Vaajakoski.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

PK-37 Clean Sheet 23%

Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PK-37	Vaajakoski
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	12
Draws	4	3
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	1.23	2.03
Goals Conceded	2.37	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2019 Kakkonen Group C

PK-37 vs Vaajakoski

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

May 18, 2019 Kakkonen Group C

Vaajakoski vs PK-37

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jul 24, 2011 Kakkonen Group C

PK-37 vs Vaajakoski

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

May 7, 2011 Kakkonen Group C

Vaajakoski vs PK-37

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Sep 5, 2010 Kakkonen Group C

PK-37 vs Vaajakoski

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PK-37 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Lintinen P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kilpelainen O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PK-37 18 / 100

Vaajakoski 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PK-37 Vaajakoski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (2)

Secondary Pick Vaajakoski & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PK-37 attacking → ← attacking Vaajakoski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PK-37 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vaajakoski let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

PK-37 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vaajakoski lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 39

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SJK Akatemia	22	17	3	2	56:14	54
2	RoPS Rovaniemi 2	22	13	6	3	60:29	45
3	KuFu-98	22	13	3	6	59:34	42
4	JBK	22	12	5	5	58:34	41
5	Vaajakoski	22	12	2	8	46:42	38
6	GBK Kokkola	22	7	8	7	47:32	29
7	OLS Oulu	22	8	5	9	36:40	29
8	VIFK	22	8	5	9	25:38	29
9	JS Hercules	22	7	6	9	40:49	27
10	Kajaanin Haka	22	4	5	13	25:55	17
11	PK-37	22	3	4	15	25:53	13
12	VPS 2	22	2	0	20	11:68	6