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Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Placido de Castro in this Campeonato Acreano 2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Placido de Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Placido de Castro
39%
Draws
30%
Nauas EC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Placido de Castro at 1.63 per game, Nauas EC at 0.33.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Acreano 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Placido de Castro Nauas EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.33
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Acreano 2
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
0:0
Aug 14, 2021 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Nauas EC
1:2
Aug 26, 2020 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Placido de Castro
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Placido de Castro 32 / 100
Nauas EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Placido de Castro Nauas EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nauas EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Nauas EC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Placido de Castro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Placido de Castro VS Nauas EC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acreano14112136:935
2Rio Branco AC1493248:1230
3Placido de Castro1472523:1923
4Galvez1472523:2023
5AMAX1454519:2119
6Vasco da Gama AC1432922:3511
7Alto Acre1432918:4111
8Nauas EC1421119:417