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Platense Municipal vs Santa Tecla Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Arevalo D.
82' Event
Caicedo E.

AI Match Summary

Platense Municipal in this Primera Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Platense Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Platense Municipal
20%
Draws
40%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Platense Municipal have won more games recently than Santa Tecla.
  • Win probability leans Platense Municipal's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Platense Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Municipal Santa Tecla
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Primera Division
Platense Municipal vs Santa Tecla
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Platense Municipal
0:1
Nov 15, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Platense Municipal
1:1
Sep 20, 2023 Primera Division
Platense Municipal vs Santa Tecla
0:2
Apr 13, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Platense Municipal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Santa Tecla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense Municipal 58 / 100
Santa Tecla 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Municipal Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platense Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Tecla has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Platense Municipal's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Santa Tecla's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Platense Municipal VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense Municipal

(Home)
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Atletico Balboa
3 : 1
Platense Municipal
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 7

Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)