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Platense vs Fluminense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Millan J.
13'
Vazquez I.
30' Event
Mainero G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Platense
20%
Draws
23%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Platense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Platense have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Fluminense are scoring more at 1.59.
  • Platense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Platense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Platense Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Fluminense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Fluminense
2:1
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Platense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mainero G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sepulveda B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Canobbio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 77 / 100
Fluminense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Fluminense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Platense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Fluminense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
02 Nov
Platense
2 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
29 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
Platense
23 Oct
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 2
Platense
17 Oct
Platense
0 : 1
Lanus
11 Oct
Platense
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense

(Away)
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1
Internacional
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1
Fluminense
22 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 1
Fluminense
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Santos
15 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 1
Flamengo RJ 0
Palmeiras 3
Fluminense 2
Final
Estudiantes L.P. -
Palmeiras -