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Playford Patriots vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia 2025 Ramsay Park
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Match Events

34' Event
Tabares S.
41' Event
McCabe H.
44' Event
O'Doherty C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia 2025 game between Playford Patriots and Modbury Jets finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Playford Patriots
44%
Draws
20%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Playford Patriots and Modbury Jets close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Modbury Jets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Playford Patriots Clean Sheet 18%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Playford Patriots Modbury Jets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 NPL South Australia
Playford Patriots vs Modbury Jets
2:4
May 16, 2025 NPL South Australia
Modbury Jets vs Playford Patriots
4:2
Jun 4, 2022 SA State League
Playford Patriots vs Modbury Jets
0:2
Feb 25, 2022 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Playford Patriots
5:0
Oct 9, 2021 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Playford Patriots
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Playford Patriots Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabares S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pounendis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer McCabe H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Doherty C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Playford Patriots 36 / 100
Modbury Jets 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Playford Patriots Modbury Jets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Playford Patriots scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Modbury Jets let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Playford Patriots has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Playford Patriots VS Modbury Jets
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars22164255:2052
2Adelaide City22123743:3039
3Croydon22122843:3438
4FK Beograd22121943:3237
5Adelaide Utd U232295840:4432
6West Torrens Birkalla2294933:3531
7Campbelltown City22931036:4630
8Playford Patriots22921145:4129
9Adelaide Comets22921126:3429
10Para22651137:5623
11Modbury Jets22641227:3222
12Adelaide Croatia Raiders22431524:4815