Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plaza Colonia vs Atenas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lopez M.
28' Event
Gonzalez M.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Medina L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Plaza Colonia and Atenas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Plaza Colonia
20%
Draws
38%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Plaza Colonia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Atenas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Atenas
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Plaza Colonia
1:3
May 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Atenas
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Apr 22, 2014 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Atenas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 51 / 100
Atenas 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atenas let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Plaza Colonia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Atenas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
25 Jul
Tacuarembo
0 : 2
Plaza Colonia
11 Jul
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 2
Plaza Colonia
04 Jul
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
La Luz
28 Jun
Cerrito
1 : 0
Plaza Colonia
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

Atenas

(Away)
26 Jul
Fenix
1 : 0
Atenas
12 Jul
Atenas
1 : 3
Rentistas
06 Jul
Miramar
1 : 1
Atenas
27 Jun
Atenas
2 : 0
Tacuarembo
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1161418:1219
2Cerrito1154215:1319
3River Plate Montevideo1153318:1718
4Fenix1144315:1216
5Plaza Colonia1151512:1116
6La Luz114439:816
7Club Oriental De Futbol1136216:1315
8Colon1143412:1215
9Rentistas1143411:1315
10Tacuarembo114258:1214
11Miramar1134414:1313
12Paysandu FC1141615:1713
13Huracan FC113358:1312
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1123611:169
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)