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Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Isasmendi J.
38' Event
Batista L.
67' Event
Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Plaza Colonia and Cerrito finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerrito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Plaza Colonia
35%
Draws
32%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plaza Colonia come out ahead of Cerrito on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Plaza Colonia taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia Cerrito
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito
1:3
Jun 28, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Isasmendi J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Batista L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 42 / 100
Cerrito 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Cerrito let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Plaza Colonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS Cerrito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
12 Sept
Huracan FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
Page 1 of 6

Cerrito

(Away)
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
5 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
10 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
11 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)